Gulf security أمن الخليج العربي

الأحد، 30 ديسمبر 2007

Kuwait jets bombed Iraq sites. Iraq Accusation bombed U.N. Resolution 833

The new Iraq Accusations

Kuwait denied on December 29, 2007 that its naval troops and fighter jets targeted a site for a company from Holland operating in Iraqi waters and underlined its commitment to nternational laws and good bilateral ties.
Officials affirmed Kuwait's commitment to the relevant international charters and resolutions as well as good-neighborly relations. Five years ago renewing accusations like this against Kuwait by the ruling Baath party would seem normal, for the Iraqi leadership lived on Iraq-Kuwait border disputes and other factors of instability, but accusations by the present elected civil democratic government seem questionable.

Iraq Accusations Timeline

Theft of Iraqi oil, border disputes and smuggling were the reasons Iraq gave for attacking Kuwait for the last 50 years. In 1938 tensions resurfaced with a climax when King Ghazi launched a cold war by media campaign against Kuwait, among the claims were the border issue and smuggling. He was setting the stage for Iraqi demands that included favorable trade agreements and unlimited Iraqi worker’s permits. Kuwait rejected the charges and the demands which escalated the tension between the two countries until the death of the Iraqi king. In an attempt to control the Kuwaiti islands of Warba and Bubiyan, Iraq launches a limited military offensive on AlSametah police station five miles inside the Kuwaiti border On March 20, 1973, the islands are strategically located around the Iraqi oil port of Umm Qasr .

What Does Iraq Want?

After 1995 Iraq-Kuwait border was not as vaguely defined as it used to be. Along with land boundaries Umm Qasr port was well defined by the United Nations marking the Iraqi access to the Gulf. Iraq now thinks that their access to the Gulf is too narrow and the new Accusations will bring Kuwait to the negotiation table in hopes of gaining any land from Kuwait regardless of the Security Council Resolution No 833 on the demarcation of the border between the State of Kuwait and Iraq and ignoring the previous bad-neighborly relations that came as a result of such accusations.

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الأربعاء، 12 ديسمبر 2007

CIA report: we are not attacking Iran for WMD only

Two weeks ago I felt an immediate relief when I read the CIA report declaring that they found no conclusive evidence, as yet, of a secret Iranian nuclear weapons program running parallel to the civilian operations that Iran has declared to the International Atomic Energy Agency.
Good things don’t last long because I didn’t see Ahmadinejad's government using this in their propaganda machine like they did previously. So what did the Iranian government see in that report?
They saw a message; they saw that the U.S government used this controlled leak of information to give a warning to Ahmadinejad.

"The US-led invasion of Iraq was based on a false CIA report regarding Saddam's WMD program, we know that you don’t have a nuclear weapons program, and we are not going to attack you for that only but for your interventions in Iraq, Lebanon, Palestine and the hegemony in the Arabian Gulf; so far you have failed to respond to our warnings, we’ve roll out the myth of WMD, now stop acting as a rogue State."

To handle dangerous countries or Axis of Evil states by direct and unilateral action was both possible and justified in the Bush Doctrine and Mr. Bush is practicing that for the last time.

الأحد، 9 ديسمبر 2007

The 4th Manama Dialogue Forum :Do we have to blame Iran?

Iran has been a regular participant at the Manama Dialogue forum"7 - 9 December2007 in Bahrain", But not this year. Iranians saw the Forum as another American propaganda chapter so they simply didn't show up .Add to that the countries invited to the forum by the the British International Institute of Strategic Studies were: Bahrain, Egypt, Kuwait, Iran, Iraq, Jordan, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Turkey, the UAE and Yemen – with the key external powers – Australia, China, France, Germany, India, Japan, Pakistan, Russia, Singapore, the United Kingdom and the United States, but had never invited Iran's Arab ally, Syria, the major player in Middle East politics. Furthermore, by this forum IISS urged the international community to continue pressuring Iran to stop its nuclear weapons activities and to abandon the program altogether.
The US Secretary of Defense Robert M. Gates had called on GCC states to establish an air missile defense umbrella to combat Iranian missiles,and for this Iran considered the forum as interference in the region's internal affairs.
A week ago Iranian President Ahmadinejad has told Gulf Arab leaders that Iran wants economic and security pacts with the Gulf Co-operation Council (GCC).the Gulf Arab leaders didn’t welcome his invitation and instead they welcomed Cates's air missile defense umbrella, the first Iranian war of words came from Shariatmadari editor of Iran's influential Kayhan daily laying territorial claims to Bahrain ,again for the second time in less than a year.
The Manama Dialogue was Initially called the Gulf Dialogue, the forum was last year renamed the Manama Dialogue by the IISS in order "to incorporate the name of the capital of Bahrain into the Dialogue title in recognition of the continued support of Bahrain to this security summit, unfortunately this recognition caused the renewal of old claim of sovereignty over Bahrain.


WHY :
why do we have to get new American missiles?
why do they have to set them up at the GCC backyard to defend Israel?
Why did we allow the IISS to ignore Syria?
Why did we reject the Iranian defense proposal instead of considering it ?

السبت، 1 ديسمبر 2007

Iran's president to attend summit of Gulf Cooperation Council


Yesterday Mojtaba Hashemi, a senior aide to Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said that the presence of the Iranian president in the summit of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) 3-4 Dec 2007 in Qatar signifies the political will of Iran and the Gulf states to bolster cooperation among them.

What is going to materializes from this meeting?

From military experience I see as If Ahmadinejad had removed the safety clip from a fragmentation hand grenade and about to remove the safety pin , and our GCC leaders are begging him not to do so, Iran well seek to capitalize on the opportunity.


Former Secretary General of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) Abdullah Beshara sees the attendance as a new chapter in Iran's propaganda and diplomacy, Iran has been seeking to improve ties as it faces increasing international isolation over its nuclear program .This is the first time that Iran has been invited to the Gulf Cooperation Council summit ,and for years the Iranians looked at the GCC as an American made structure.

Is the whole attendance a game to find a face-saving solution to Ahmadinejad ?
Another 3 days is not along time to find out .

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Gulf seurity أمن الخليج العربي

Kuwait
تبين هذه المدونة كيف تمتع الخليج بأهمية كبيرة أدت إلى خلق عبء استراتيجي على أهله بصورة ظهرت فيها الجغرافيا وهي تثقل كاهل التاريخ وهي مدونة لاستشراف مستقبل الأمن في الخليج العربي The strategic importance of the Gulf region creates a strategic burden and show a good example of Geography as burden on history. This blog well examine this and forecast the Gulf's near future and events in its Iraq, Iran ,Saudi Arabia ,Kuwait, Bahrain ,Qatar, United Arab Emirates and Oman

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